CNBC 快讯 10月2日 05:00
巴西举行高风险大选，美中竞争与债务阴影笼罩
Brazil votes in high-stakes election as U.S.-China rivalry and debt loom large
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巴西举行高风险大选，美中竞争与债务阴影笼罩
Brazil votes in high-stakes election as U.S.-China rivalry and debt loom large
市场隐含概率 预测市场 →
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? 3% Yes 24h -1.6pp
- 弗拉维奥·博索纳罗会赢得2026年巴西总统选举吗？ Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54% Yes 24h -9.4pp
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? 2% Yes 24h -0.3pp
- 弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗会在2026年巴西总统选举第一轮投票中名列第二吗？ Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?28% Yes 24h -4.0pp
- Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? 73% Yes 24h +3.0pp
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
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