弗拉维奥·博索纳罗会赢得2026年巴西总统选举吗？

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

所属事件：Brazil Presidential Election · Flávio Bolsonaro

55%

Yes 隐含概率

-1.2pp

24 小时变动

-0.1pp

1 小时变动

38 万美元

流动性

2026年10月4日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 55%No · 45%

关联线索与报告

暂未与 Lisa 的新闻线索建立语义关联。

结算规则（原文）

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on …

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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