BBC 头条追踪 10月2日 15:30
桑切斯因驱逐事件在住房危机关键投票中失利，提前大选预期推高欧债与欧元折价
Spanish PM Sánchez loses key housing crisis vote after eviction of woman, 87
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桑切斯因驱逐事件在住房危机关键投票中失利，提前大选预期推高欧债与欧元折价
Spanish PM Sánchez loses key housing crisis vote after eviction of woman, 87
市场隐含概率 预测市场 →
- Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? 17% Yes 24h -4.3pp
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? 28% Yes 24h +1.0pp
- Spain snap election called by November 30? 61% Yes 24h —
- Spain snap election called by October 31? 54% Yes 24h —
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
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