预测市场 / 政治与选举
Spain snap election called by November 30?
61%
Yes 隐含概率
—
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
3 万美元
流动性
2026年12月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 61%No · 40%
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结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolu…