预测市场 / 政治与选举
安德烈·久罗夫会赢得下一届保加利亚总统选举吗?
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
10%
Yes 隐含概率
-1.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
16 万美元
流动性
2026年10月26日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 10%No · 91%
异动记录 · 90 天
21% → 16% -5.0pp
32% → 18% -14.0pp
27% → 16% -11.0pp
关联线索与报告
结算规则(原文)
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this mark…