伊利亚娜·约托娃能否赢得下届保加利亚总统选举？

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

所属事件：Bulgaria Presidential Election · Iliana Iotova

91%

Yes 隐含概率

+1.5pp

24 小时变动

0.0pp

1 小时变动

10 万美元

流动性

2026年10月26日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 91%No · 10%

异动记录 · 90 天

9月27日 20:00 24 小时窗口

67% → 80% +12.5pp

关联线索与报告

线索：巴西举行高风险大选，美中竞争与债务阴影笼罩相似度 0.62

结算规则（原文）

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this mark…

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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