BBC 商业
◆ 50 9月16日 21:02
美联储三年来首次加息：宏观对冲视角的全市场传导分析
US interest rates raised for first time in three years
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市场隐含概率 预测市场 →
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? 47% Yes 24h +12.0pp
- 美联储会在2026年10月会议后加息25个基点吗？ Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?69% Yes 24h +4.0pp
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? 77% Yes 24h +9.5pp
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? 2% Yes 24h -0.4pp
- Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 48% Yes 24h +2.0pp
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? 2% Yes 24h -0.2pp
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
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BBC 实时新闻流
◆ 50 9月16日 21:02
特朗普回应美联储加息：施压降息至1%以下，称美国经济"蓬勃发展"
Trump reacts by demanding Fed lower rates and says US is 'booming'reaking
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