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2026年11月4日 02:45 · BBC 实时新闻流 · MiniMax-M3

众议院竞选：局势如何

House races: Here's where things stand

FactGuard 100 8,946 tok 原文 ↗

事件本质：CBS 预计民主党至少赢得 208 个众议院席位、共和党至少赢得 160 个席位，而取得多数需要 218 席，因此结果仍接近悬念；最可交易变量是“分裂国会”概率及其对财政、监管和风险溢价的影响。〔SRC〕〔SRC:"For a majority, 218 seats must

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