美战机遭击落事件：首次已知案例的地缘信号分析
This is the first case of a US jet being downed in this war - and it matters
# 地缘军事事件风险分析框架
1. 核心事实剥离
事件本质：美国空军F-15E战斗机在伊朗冲突中首次被敌方火力击落（此前三架F-15E系因科威特防空系统误击损失），这一事件直接挑战了特朗普政府与军方高层此前宣称的"美国已实际上赢得这场战争"的论断，以及军方反复强调的"空中优势"表述。〔SRC: "Trump and his defence secretary Pete Hegseth have both repeatedly suggested that the US has effectively won this war" + "Hegseth and military
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