在供应担忧与对伊朗军事行动重启讨论推动下油价上涨

1. 核心事实剥离

• 事件本质：报道称美国可能重启对伊朗的大规模军事行动，地缘风险溢价（risk premium）直接传导至原油曲线，触发油价的近端（near-term）跳升〔SRC:"Oil gains as Middle East hostilities stoke supply worries" / "President Donald Trump and his national security team have talked about possibly restarting large-scale U.S. military operations in Iran in