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2026年10月12日 18:18 · CNBC 快讯 · MiniMax-M3

标普500牛市长达四年：投资者警示第五个年头将面临考验

The bull market turned 4 years old on Monday. Investors say reaching a fifth birthday could be challenging

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事件本质：标普500在2022年10月12日收盘低点以来累计上涨约120%〔SRC〕，本报告将其作为四年里程碑复盘，并暗示投资者对第五年延续存在疑虑〔SRC〕。最关键的可交易变量是：风险溢价（RERP）压缩后再膨胀的拐点与期限结构对成长股的折现率压力。

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