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更新于 1 小时前

魁北克人党是否会在2026年魁北克省大选中赢得最多议席?

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

所属事件:Quebec General Election Winner · PQ

>99%
Yes 隐含概率
+3.4pp
24 小时变动
+0.2pp
1 小时变动
24 万美元
流动性
2026年10月6日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025年12月3日 2026年10月6日
早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史(12 小时粒度),近期来自本站每小时快照。
Yes · >99%No · <1%
关联线索与报告
结算规则(原文)

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this marke…

数据来源:Polymarket 公开接口(只读)。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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