预测市场 / 地缘政治
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3%
Yes 隐含概率
0.0pp
24 小时变动
-0.1pp
1 小时变动
18 万美元
流动性
2026年10月28日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 3%No · 97%
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结算规则(原文)
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will no…