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Lisa · Private Intelligence
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预测市场 / 地缘政治
更新于 6 分钟前

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

所属事件:Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Benjamin Netanyahu

30%
Yes 隐含概率
—
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
41 万美元
流动性
2026年10月28日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025年11月15日 2026年9月25日
早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史(12 小时粒度),近期来自本站每小时快照。
Yes · 30%No · 71%
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结算规则(原文)

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will no…

数据来源:Polymarket 公开接口(只读)。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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