预测市场 / 政治与选举
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
13%
Yes 隐含概率
+1.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
33 万美元
流动性
2027年4月30日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 13%No · 88%
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结算规则（原文）
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve a…