预测市场 / 政治与选举
亿万富翁一次性财富税能否在2026年加州选举中通过？
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
28%
Yes 隐含概率
-3.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
15 万美元
流动性
2026年11月4日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 28%No · 72%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalen…