预测市场 / 政治与选举
米奇·麦康奈尔是否会在任期结束前从参议院辞职？
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
7%
Yes 隐含概率
-1.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
6 万美元
流动性
2027年1月4日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 7%No · 94%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution so…