预测市场 / 政治与选举
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
40%
Yes 隐含概率
0.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
17 万美元
流动性
—
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 40%No · 61%
关联线索与报告
报告：德克萨斯州总检察长Ken Paxton在参议院共和党初选中击败资深现任参议员Cornyn 线索：特朗普背书搅动德州共和党参议院初选：帕克斯顿挑战科宁 报告：Trump在德克萨斯州参议院决选中背书Ken Paxton而非John Cornyn 报告：Trump 系候选人主导德州参议院初选对跨资产定价的宏观传导分析
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affil…