预测市场 / 政治与选举
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
75%
Yes 隐含概率
-0.3pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
10 万美元
流动性
2026年11月3日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 75%No · 25%
关联线索与报告
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结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the par…