预测市场 / 政治与选举
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
42%
Yes 隐含概率
-1.5pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
11 万美元
流动性
2027年1月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 42%No · 58%
关联线索与报告
报告：交易员称Karen Bass和Spencer Pratt将进入备受关注的洛杉矶市长选举决选 线索：现实电视明星Spencer Pratt参选市长：名人政治化的可行性分析 报告：Labour to announce Greater Manchester mayoral candidate on 26 June 报告：进步派市议员拉曼晋级，将与现任洛杉矶市长巴斯进入11月决选 报告：洛杉矶市长 Karen Bass 挺进决选，竞争者包括共和党新人 Spencer Pratt 或民主党同僚 Nithya Raman
结算规则（原文）
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the …