Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

所属事件：California Governor Election Winner · Steve Hilton

Yes 隐含概率

+0.1pp

24 小时变动

0.0pp

1 小时变动

21 万美元

流动性

2026年11月4日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 5%No · 95%

关联线索与报告

暂未与 Lisa 的新闻线索建立语义关联。

结算规则（原文）

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candida…

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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