预测市场 / 政治与选举
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦会赢得2026年巴西总统选举吗？
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44%
Yes 隐含概率
+1.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
34 万美元
流动性
2026年10月4日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 44%No · 56%
关联线索与报告
暂未与 Lisa 的新闻线索建立语义关联。
结算规则（原文）
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on …