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预测市场 / 政治与选举
更新于 45 分钟前

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

所属事件:Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party

93%
Yes 隐含概率
0.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
59 万美元
流动性
2027年1月5日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2025年7月19日 2026年9月27日
早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史(12 小时粒度),近期来自本站每小时快照。
Yes · 93%No · 8%
关联线索与报告
结算规则(原文)

This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated. T…

数据来源:Polymarket 公开接口(只读)。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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