预测市场 / 地缘政治
沙特-胡塞停火协议是否将在 12 月 31 日前宣布？
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
23%
Yes 隐含概率
+1.5pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
3 万美元
流动性
2027年1月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 23%No · 77%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a ceasefire agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engage…