预测市场 / 地缘政治
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?
14%
Yes 隐含概率
-6.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
3 万美元
流动性
2026年11月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 14%No · 87%
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结算规则(原文)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by Saudi Arabia; 2) be publicly acknowledged to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose. For military personnel to qualify toward …