预测市场 / 地缘政治
沙特原油管道（东西管道）是否会在11月30日前重启？
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?
>99%
Yes 隐含概率
+22.5pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
33 万美元
流动性
2026年12月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · >99%No · <1%
异动记录 · 90 天
78% → >99% +22.5pp
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity quali…