预测市场 / 地缘政治
沙特阿拉伯领空是否会在10月31日前关闭？
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?
7%
Yes 隐含概率
-1.0pp
24 小时变动
-1.5pp
1 小时变动
4 万美元
流动性
2026年11月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 7%No · 94%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabian Airspace (The Jeddah Flight Information Region (FIR)/OEJD) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying closure occurs when the aviation or governmental authority responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region issues a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM), or other official order under the regulations of the jurisdiction responsible for that airspace region, which …