预测市场 / 地缘政治
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
76%
Yes 隐含概率
-6.1pp
24 小时变动
+2.1pp
1 小时变动
6 万美元
流动性
2026年11月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 76%No · 24%
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结算规则(原文)
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity quali…