预测市场 / 地缘政治
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
37%
Yes 隐含概率
-11.5pp
24 小时变动
-0.5pp
1 小时变动
5 万美元
流动性
2026年10月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 37%No · 64%
异动记录 · 90 天
48% → 37% -11.5pp
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结算规则（原文）
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity quali…