预测市场 / 地缘政治
俄罗斯与乌克兰是否会在2026年10月31日前举行任何外交会晤？
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
61%
Yes 隐含概率
+2.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
4 万美元
流动性
2026年11月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 61%No · 40%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, th…