Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

所属事件：Taipei Mayor Election Winner · Puma Shen

18%

Yes 隐含概率

-2.2pp

24 小时变动

-0.1pp

1 小时变动

9 万美元

流动性

2026年11月29日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 18%No · 82%

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结算规则（原文）

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as i…

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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