Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

所属事件：Which company has the best AI model end of October? · Anthropic

88%

Yes 隐含概率

-0.5pp

24 小时变动

-0.5pp

1 小时变动

3 万美元

流动性

2026年11月1日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 88%No · 12%

关联线索与报告

线索：美国两党及科技界同日就AI监管展开公开辩论相似度 0.61

结算规则（原文）

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models mark…

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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