预测市场 / 地缘政治
美国会在2026年9月30日前宣布伊朗封锁结束吗？
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
11%
Yes 隐含概率
+3.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
6 万美元
流动性
2026年10月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 11%No · 90%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwi…