预测市场 / 政治与选举
亚历山大·武契奇会成为塞尔维亚下一任总理吗?
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
58%
Yes 隐含概率
-1.1pp
24 小时变动
-0.7pp
1 小时变动
14 万美元
流动性
2028年7月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 58%No · 42%
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结算规则(原文)
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 1…