预测市场 / 地缘政治
2027年前是否不会出现任何在任领导人下台的情况？
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
36%
Yes 隐含概率
0.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
6 万美元
流动性
2027年1月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 36%No · 64%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, wil…