预测市场 / 政治与选举
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
2%
Yes 隐含概率
+0.6pp
24 小时变动
+0.1pp
1 小时变动
6 万美元
流动性
2028年4月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 2%No · 98%
关联线索与报告
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minist…