Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

所属事件：Next Prime Minister of Spain? · Alberto Núñez Feijóo

81%

Yes 隐含概率

+6.0pp

24 小时变动

0.0pp

1 小时变动

4 万美元

流动性

2028年4月1日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 81%No · 20%

关联线索与报告

线索：西班牙宣布新住房措施应对驱逐抗议相似度 0.61

结算规则（原文）

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minist…

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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