预测市场 / 宏观与央行
2026年10月会议后美联储利率会保持不变吗?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
33%
Yes 隐含概率
+1.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
42 万美元
流动性
2026年10月29日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 33%No · 68%
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结算规则(原文)
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed opti…