预测市场 / 公司与科技
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
3%
Yes 隐含概率
-0.5pp
24 小时变动
-0.2pp
1 小时变动
2 万美元
流动性
2026年11月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 3%No · 97%
关联线索与报告
线索：Anthropic 招股书揭示宏大 AI 愿景与飙升成本，路透社 报告：Anthropic 在 IPO 招股书中警告AI 可能带来存在性风险——AI 风险溢价与波动率期限结构的再定价交易 线索：Anthropic Kill Switch监管叙事升温下的波动率与风险溢价重定价交易 报告：Kalshi 交易员押注 Anthropic 年内宣布 IPO，触发因素是招股书中模型可能危险的风险披露
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filing…