Anthropic在IPO日收盘时市值是否在2.5万亿至2.75万亿美元之间？

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?

所属事件：Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · $2.5–$2.75T

14%

Yes 隐含概率

-0.6pp

24 小时变动

-0.3pp

1 小时变动

3 万美元

流动性

2028年1月1日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 14%No · 86%

关联线索与报告

线索：Anthropic 招股书揭示宏大 AI 愿景与飙升成本，路透社相似度 0.67

结算规则（原文）

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly b…

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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