预测市场 / 地缘政治
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
27%
Yes 隐含概率
+4.5pp
24 小时变动
-0.5pp
1 小时变动
5 万美元
流动性
2027年1月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 27%No · 74%
关联线索与报告
报告：特朗普、泽连斯基与普京是否将举行会晤讨论结束战争？ 报告：特朗普称将与泽连斯基讨论对俄境内打击问题 线索：特朗普欢迎习近平访美——地缘政治风险溢价重定价窗口开启 报告：中美峰会贸易僵局持续，地缘风险重新定价美股波动率与跨资产避险需求
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction bet…