预测市场 / 地缘政治
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
11%
Yes 隐含概率
—
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
11 万美元
流动性
2027年1月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注(隐含概率),不是事实,也不构成投资建议。数据来源:Polymarket(链上预测市场),仅作信息参考;部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 11%No · 90%
关联线索与报告
暂未与 Lisa 的新闻线索建立语义关联。
结算规则(原文)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business…