Spain snap election called in 2026?

所属事件：Spain snap election called by...? · December 31

64%

Yes 隐含概率

+3.5pp

24 小时变动

+0.5pp

1 小时变动

3 万美元

流动性

2027年1月1日

交易中 · 截止

预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。

隐含概率走势

早期走势来自 Polymarket 公开价格历史（12 小时粒度），近期来自本站每小时快照。

Yes · 64%No · 37%

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结算规则（原文）

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolu…

数据来源：Polymarket 公开接口（只读）。在 Polymarket 查看原始市场 ↗

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