预测市场 / 政治与选举
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
75%
Yes 隐含概率
+2.5pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
10 万美元
流动性
2026年10月5日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 75%No · 26%
关联线索与报告
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结算规则（原文）
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that …