预测市场 / 地缘政治
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
9%
Yes 隐含概率
+2.0pp
24 小时变动
0.0pp
1 小时变动
6 万美元
流动性
2027年1月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 9%No · 92%
关联线索与报告
暂未与 Lisa 的新闻线索建立语义关联。
结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible repor…