预测市场 / 加密资产
《明晰法案》(H.R.3633)会在2026年被签署成法吗？
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
7%
Yes 隐含概率
+0.8pp
24 小时变动
+0.1pp
1 小时变动
33 万美元
流动性
2027年1月1日
交易中 · 截止
预测市场价格反映交易者的集体押注（隐含概率），不是事实，也不构成投资建议。数据来源：Polymarket（链上预测市场），仅作信息参考；部分司法辖区限制参与预测市场。
隐含概率走势
Yes · 7%No · 93%
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结算规则（原文）
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.